[Rushtalk] Obama's Iran Deal Will Survive As 34th Senator Announces Support
tom.matiska at att.net
Wed Sep 16 10:12:11 MDT 2015
Will one of our Constitution scholars here explain to me how this "Treaty" went from needing two thirds Senate approval to only the one third required to uphold a veto? Tom
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Carl Spitzer <lynux at keepandbeararms.com> wrote:
>Obama's Iran Deal Will Survive As 34th Senator Announces Support
>Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-Md.) gives the president the votes he needs to
>beat back legislation to kill the deal.
>Headshot of Sam Stein
>Sam Stein Senior Politics Editor, The Huffington Post
>Headshot of Amanda Terkel
>Amanda Terkel Senior Political Reporter, The Huffington Post
>Posted: 09/02/2015 10:12 AM EDT | Edited: 20 minutes ago
>WASHINGTON -- A nuclear deal between Iran and six world powers that
>promises to fundamentally alter the geopolitical landscape of the Middle
>East and beyond will not die in the U.S. Congress.
>On Wednesday, Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-Md.) announced that she would
>support the agreement, becoming the 34th member of the Senate to do so.
>In offering her backing, Mikulski, who is retiring in 2016, assured that
>President Barack Obama will dodge a Republican-led effort to kill the
>deal. Although a resolution of disapproval may still pass the chamber,
>the White House now has the necessary support to sustain a presidential
>veto of said resolution.
>“No deal is perfect, especially one negotiated with the Iranian regime.
>I have concluded that this Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action is the
>best option available to block Iran from having a nuclear bomb," said
>the Senator in a statement. "For these reasons, I will vote in favor of
>this deal. However, Congress must also reaffirm our commitment to the
>safety and security of Israel.”
><span class='image-component__caption' itemprop=caption>Sen. Barbara
>Mikulski, the Senate's longest-serving female member and a prominent
>Israel supporter, backs the Iran nuclear deal. </span> Credit:
>ASSOCIATED PRESS Sen. Barbara Mikulski, the Senate's longest-serving
>female member and a prominent Israel supporter, backs the Iran nuclear
>With the deal now seemingly safe from congressional torpedoing, Obama
>has both notched one of the most significant nuclear non-proliferation
>agreements in history and cemented a foreign policy legacy of robust
>diplomatic engagement. Whether that legacy turns out sterling or sour
>will be determined well beyond the end date of his presidency.
>Under the deal, Iran would be subjected to comprehensive inspections on
>its nuclear program and forced to reduce current uranium stockpiles and
>the number of its centrifuges. In exchange, it will be granted sanctions
>relief estimated to be anywhere between $50 billion and $150 billion.
>But the deal phases out between years 10 and 15, albeit with Iran still
>forced to provide some access for inspections for another 10 years
>thereafter. And even for supporters of the initiative, concerns remain
>about the possibilities of a quick military breakout once restrictions
>"That's the core concern," Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.) said in an
>interview with The Washington Post when announcing his support for the
>deal Tuesday. "All they've got to do is be really patient."
>Faced with this pushback, the administration has implored lawmakers to
>consider the alternative, in which no restrictions are placed on Iran
>and the world community is unwilling to rework the accord. A briefing
>between ambassadors and officials from the other countries party to the
>deal -- in which they articulated their reluctance to head back to the
>negotiating table -- was highly persuasive to several Democratic
>While the passage of the deal is now secure, its long-term viability is
>not. Nearly all of the Republican presidential candidates have pledged
>to end the deal should they win the office. And though that seems to be
>more of a campaign applause line than thought-out foreign policy, the
>politics of the accord are difficult to predict or interpret. Public
>opinion polls in July alone showed support varying from 33 percent to 56
>percent. Opponents have been better funded, running millions of dollars
>in television ads during the August recess to convince Democrats to jump
>ship. But that campaign has had, seemingly, only a marginal effect.
>So far just two Senate Democrats have announced their opposition. And
>both Sens. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) and Bob Menendez (D-N.J.) were seen as
>skeptics of the deal from the outset. That said, Democrats could find
>themselves in an odd proposition in which the vast majority of the party
>supports the deal except their incoming Senate leader (Schumer) their
>likely next House leader (Rep. Steny Hoyer of Maryland remains
>undecided) and the chair of the Democratic National Committee (Rep.
>Debbie Wasserman Schultz of Florida is undecided too).
>That could explain the timing of Mikulski's announcement. The Maryland
>Democrat is a strong symbolic choice to bring the vote tally for the
>agreement to the critical 34. She is the chamber's longest-serving
>female member and a prominent Israel supporter -- the American Israel
>Public Affairs Committee, which has lobbied heavily against the deal,
>called her "a stalwart supporter of the U.S.-Israel relationship." And
>her backing could foreshadow forthcoming support from another critical
>member: Sen. Ben Cardin (D-Md.), a fellow Marylander who is the ranking
>member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.
>Indeed, at this juncture, Democratic leadership is gunning to get to 40
>supportive members, which would prevent a resolution of disapproval from
>even making it to Obama's desk, should they choose to filibuster it.
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